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Kurdish Peace Process: From Optimism to Uncertainty and What’s Next? 14 avril 2015

Posted by Acturca in Turkey / Turquie.
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Policy Brief (German Marshall Fund of the United States) April 14, 2015

Galip Dalay *

Turkey and Kurdish politicians are too far committed to the Kurdish peace process to easily backtrack on it. Strategic calculations account for the continuation of the process on both sides. The fact that the process has overcome many challenges illustrates its resilience and the resoluteness of the parties. Nevertheless, there are still a number of factors that have the potential either to terminate or delay it. Regional developments, the electoral performance of the pro-Kurdish HDP, the overall election atmosphere and parties’ calculations about it, and divergent conceptualizations of the place of the process in the debate on a new constitution and political system are the main potential spoiling factors. Successful completion of the process necessitates the actors involved work toward overcoming these factors.

* Galip Dalay works as a research director at the Al Sharq Forum and is a senior associate fellow on Turkey and Kurdish affairs at the Al Jazeera Center for Studies.

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