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Turkey Drifting in the Middle East Winds of Change 3 juillet 2014

Posted by Acturca in Middle East / Moyen Orient, Turkey / Turquie.
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INSS Insight (Institute for National Securities Studies) No. 568, July 3, 2014

Gallia Lindenstrauss * & Süfyan Kadir Kıvam

The abduction of some 80 Turkish citizens in Iraq by Islamic State (IS, formerly known as ISIS) militants and their affiliates symbolizes the major potential dangers of the current turmoil in the Middle East to Turkey’s security, economy, and trade relations, as well as to its regional influence. Turkey would like Iraq to remain a unified state. However, it cannot afford the strengthening of IS in Iraq, since it threatens Turkey’s dominance in northern Iraq. Turkey has gained much from the burgeoning relations with the Kurdish Regional Government in recent years, but has not yet accepted the notion of a completely independent Kurdish state in northern Iraq. Thus, Turkey has no good options with regard to Iraq. Contrary to its very activist policies in the years preceding the Arab Spring, Turkey is now, at best, muddling through.

* Gallia Lindenstrauss, a researcher at the Institute for National Security Studies, specializes in Turkish foreign policy.

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